People

Dr. Kai QUEK 郭全鎧

Associate Professor of Politics: Ph.D., MIT; B.A., Cornell University.

I study strategic interactions in international relations (IR), with a focus on the IR of China and America.

I am especially interested in (1) state-to-state signaling, (2) the dynamics of deescalation, and (3) the cognitive and cultural origins of polar political beliefs (such as nationalism vs. cosmopolitanism, individualism vs. communitarianism).

CV: Link

Awards

  • HKU Outstanding Young Researcher Award
  • MIT Presidential Fellowship
  • Cornell Presidential Research Scholarship

Publications

Signaling, Information, War

  • "Four Costly Signaling Mechanisms." American Political Science Review (2021).
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  • "Authoritarian Public Opinion and the Democratic Peace" (with Mark Bell). International Organization (2018).
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  • "Can China Back Down? Crisis Deescalation in the Shadow of Popular Opposition" (with Alastair Iain Johnston). International Security (2018).
       — Featured in The Economist
       — Reprinted in Essential Readings in World Politics (WW Norton, 7th Edition)
    Abstract    URL
  • "Type II Audience Costs." The Journal of Politics (2017).
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  • "Are Costly Signals More Credible? Evidence of Sender-Receiver Gaps." The Journal of Politics (2016).
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  • "Nuclear Proliferation and the Use of Nuclear Options: Experimental Tests." Political Research Quarterly (2016).
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  • "Rationalist Experiments on War." Political Science Research and Methods (2015).
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  • "Discontinuities in Signaling Behavior Upon the Decision for War: An Analysis of China’s Prewar Signaling Behavior." International Relations of the Asia Pacific (2015).
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China, Collective Beliefs, Belief Systems

  • "Public Attitudes on Foreign and Internal Migration: Evidence from China" (with David Andrew Singer). Public Opinion Quarterly (2021).
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  • "Guns and Butter in China: How Chinese Citizens Respond to Military Spending" (with Xiao Han and Michael Sadler). China Quarterly (2020).
       — Featured in The Washington Post
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  • "Violence Exposure and Support for State Use of Force in a Non-Democracy" (with Yue Hou). Journal of Experimental Political Science (2019)
       — Best JEPS Article Award, American Political Science Association
    Abstract    URL
  • "Authoritarian Public Opinion and the Democratic Peace" (with Mark Bell). International Organization (2018).
  • "Can China Back Down? Crisis Deescalation in the Shadow of Popular Opposition" (with Alastair Iain Johnston). International Security (2018).
  • "Discontinuities in Signaling Behavior Upon the Decision for War: An Analysis of China’s Prewar Signaling Behavior." International Relations of the Asia Pacific (2015).
  • "Closeness Counts: Increasing Precision and Reducing Errors in Mass Election Predictions" (with Michael Sances). Political Analysis (2015).
       — Adopted by the American National Election Study (ANES) 2016
    Abstract    URL

Selected Conferences

  • "Do States Signal Resolve by Sinking Costs?" (with Dan Altman). Paper for the International Studies Association Annual Conference (2021).
  • "Mnemonic Conflict Reconciliation." Paper for the Pacific International Politics Conference (2020).
  • "Are Costly Signals Perceived Asymmetrically?" Paper for the Pacific International Politics Conference (2019).
  • "The Existence of Four Costly Signaling Mechanisms." Paper for the Pacific International Politics Conference (2018).
  • “International Credibility Cost: An Experimental Investigation” (with Xiao Han and Michael Sadler). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2018).
  • "Heterogeneous Chinese Nationalism" (with Erin Baggott and Alastair Iain Johnston). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2017).
  • "Security Dilemma Thinking: Evidence from a Cross-National Experiment in China and the United States" (with Ryan Brutger and Joshua Kertzer). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2017).
  • "Crisis Management in the Shadow of Audience Costs" (with Alastair Iain Johnston). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2016).
  • "Understanding Chinese International Kindness: A National Experiment" (with Zenobia Chan). Paper for the International Studies Association Annual Conference (2016).
  • "Rally Around the Red Flag: Terror Shocks and Nationalism in China" (with Yue Hou). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2015).
  • "Realism, Idealism, and American Public Opinion on Nuclear Disarmament" (with Mark Bell). Paper for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting (2015).

Monograph

  • "Rationalist Causes of War: Mechanisms, Experiments, and East Asian Wars." Thesis (2013). (Committee: Kenneth Oye, James M. Snyder, Stephen Van Evera)